Just in case you wondered how people could claim 100,000 Iraqi deaths -- here's the data

This article from The Lancet, one of the few publications in the world the Bushleaguers can't discount as a liberally-biased political attack publication. They're not known for making wild assertions they can't back up.

Two weeks ago, Noam Chomsky used this death total on the Bill Maher Show and was denounced in killer-crazed terms by Andrew Sullivan as a liar. Sorry Andrew, it's you and your GOP pals who were the ones living in fantasy...

Mortality before and after the 2003 invasion of Iraq: cluster sample survey

Les Roberts, Riyadh Lafta, Richard Garfield, Jamal Khudhairi, Gilbert Burnham

October 29, 2004

Background: In March, 2003, military forces, mainly from the USA and the UK, invaded Iraq. We did a survey to compare mortality during the period of 14·6 months before the invasion with the 17·8 months after it.

Methods: A cluster sample survey was undertaken throughout Iraq during September, 2004. 33 clusters of 30 households each were interviewed about household composition, births, and deaths since January, 2002. In those households reporting deaths, the date, cause, and circumstances of violent deaths were recorded. We assessed the relative risk of death associated with the 2003 invasion and occupation by comparing mortality in the 17·8 months after the invasion with the 14·6-month period preceding it.

Findings: The risk of death was estimated to be 2·5-fold (95% CI 1·6-4·2) higher after the invasion when compared with the preinvasion period. Two-thirds of all violent deaths were reported in one cluster in the city of Falluja. If we exclude the Falluja data, the risk of death is 1·5-fold (1·1-2·3) higher after the invasion. We estimate that 98000 more deaths than expected (8000-194000) happened after the invasion outside of Falluja and far more if the outlier Falluja cluster is included. The major causes of death before the invasion were myocardial infarction, cerebrovascular accidents, and other chronic disorders whereas after the invasion violence was the primary cause of death. Violent deaths were widespread, reported in 15 of 33 clusters, and were mainly attributed to coalition forces. Most individuals reportedly killed by coalition forces were women and children. The risk of death from violence in the period after the invasion was 58 times higher (95% CI 8·1-419) than in the period before the war.


Interpretation: Making conservative assumptions, we think that about 100000 excess deaths, or more have happened since the 2003 invasion of Iraq. Violence accounted for most of the excess deaths and air strikes from coalition forces accounted for most violent deaths. We have shown that collection of public-health information is possible even during periods of extreme violence. Our results need further verification and should lead to changes to reduce non-combatant deaths from air strikes.

100,000 people have died in Iraq since we went in there to give them freedom and democracy.

Attention: George Bush, Dick Cheney, Don Rumsfeld, Colin Powell, Condoleeza Rice and all the remora parasites who follow you around for the crumbs that dribble from your slurping jaws:

Those piles of dead bodies are what we and history will remember you for -- lies, evasions, murder and mayhem. No one in history will ever think you were anything but vile, vicious, insane monsters. That will be your legacy.

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